Friday, November 1, 2024

Will Russia become a failed state within 10 years? Is Russia currently a failed state? Will Russia eventually become a failed state?



"Russia is a declining power, and it will only get weaker with time." - International relations scholar John Mearsheimer

Almost half of global strategists think Russia could become a failed state within the next 10 years, Fortune magazine, January 23, 2023. 

"Britannica explained that a failed state is the one that “cannot protect its national boundaries.” April 26, 2023 head of the Russian Committee of defense of the Russian State Duma suggested that Russian citizens should be mobilized to protect Russian borders acknowledging that Russia has no resources for that, comparing the current inability of the state to the previous mighty USSR." -  Russia has failed as a state , Modern Diplomacy, 2023

Questions: Will Russia become a failed state within 10 years? Is Russia currently a failed state? Will Russia eventually become a failed state, but it may take longer than 10 years? 

Examine the resources below and decide for yourself.

Russia will become a failed state or it is a failed state 

Russia has failed as a state , Modern Diplomacy, 2023

Could Russia Become a Failed State? , video -2023

The Inevitable Fall of Putin’s New Russian Empire, Foreign Policy, 2023 (Re-imperialization requirements: Strong economy, strong military and effective government. Russia lacks all three.)

Could Russia disintegrate?, GIS reports, 2023 (Argues for slow decay)

Failed State: A Guide to Russia’s Rupture | Janusz Bugajski , video, 2022

Janusz Bugajski: Russia failed to develop modern state that can survive with its neighbors in peace, video, 2022

Book: Failed State: A Guide to Russia's Rupture by Janusz Bugajski, September 30, 2022

Putin regime will collapse without warning, says freed gulag dissident, Guardian, 2024 (failed war, economic, etc.)

After the Fall. Must We Prepare for the Breakup of Russia?, Institute Montaigne, 2024

In Decline, Putin's Russia Is On Its Way to Global Irrelevance, Historian Niall Ferguson on Russia, 2011 (updated 2017)

Russian power in decline and Russia in decline: 

Russian Power in Decline , Milken Institute Review, 2022

Why I am not bullish on Russia's future

Russian Power in Decline: A Demographic and Human Resource Perspective , American Enterprise Institute, 2022

Still a great power? Russia’s status dilemmas post-Ukraine war , 2023

Putin’s failing Ukraine invasion proves Russia is no superpower , 2022

Russian Grand Strategy and Ukraine: Is the war already a strategic failure?


Economic/demographic problems/forecasts of Russia




Russia's Impending Economic Implosion - Kyiv Post video, 2024


A somber outlook for the Russian economy, GIS Reports, October 2024

Russia Is on a Slow Path to Bankruptcy, But How Slow? , War on the Rock, September, 2024

Other economic/demographic data:

Russian military weaknesses:

Russian military weaknesses  (Watch the videos)

NATO vs. Russia: Who would win?



No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.

Russian economic meltdown as light industry 'collapses' and thousands of firms go bust. Oil prices plunge. Sanctions bite

Please read:   Russian economic meltdown as light industry 'collapses' and thousands of firms go bust The Kremlin is grappling with ...

Most popular posts